Carlo Emilio Bonferroni


Quick Info

Born
28 January 1892
Bergamo, Italy
Died
18 August 1960
Florence, Italy

Summary
Carlo Emilio Bonferroni was an Italian mathematician who worked on probability theory.

Biography

Carlo Bonferroni's first interests were in music and he studied conducting and the piano at the Music Conservatory of Turin. However, his interests turned towards mathematics, encouraged by his father as Carlo Benedetti points out [9]:-
Bonferroni ... an excellent pianist and composer, came from the conservatory of music and it was his father who made him enrol at the Mathematics Faculty in Turin.
Bonferroni entered the University of Turin where he studied for his laurea under Giuseppe Peano and Corrado Segre. While an undergraduate, he read Émile Borel's Eléments de la théorie des probabilités and noticed an error that Borel had made in a coin tossing problem. He wrote to Borel but never received a reply, although he noticed that Borel corrected the error in the second edition of his book. After the award of his doctorate, Bonferroni spent a year studying abroad at the University of Vienna and at the Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule in Zürich. He served in the army during World War I, as an officer in the engineers.

After the war he was appointed to the post of assistant professor at the Turin Polytechnic, where he taught analysis, geometry and mechanics. His interest in financial mathematics came through working with Filadelfo Insolera who had been appointed Professor of Financial Mathematics at the Istituto Superiore di Scienze Economiche e Commerciali of Turin in 1914. Then in 1923, Bonferroni took up the chair of financial mathematics at the Financial Mathematics and Economics Institute in Bari. For seven of the ten years he spent in Bari he served as rector of the University of Bari. In the middle of his stay at Bari, he attended the International Congress of Mathematicians which was held in Bologna in 1928. It was a highly appropriate conference for Bonferroni to attend since, for the first time, a section was introduced covering Statistics, Mathematical Economy, Calculus of Probability, and Actuarial Science. In 1933 he left Bari and moved to Florence where he held his chair until his death. Carlo Benedetti became Bonferroni's student after World War II. He said [9]:-
The University [of Florence] reopened in January 1945 and I immediately took my first examination which was mathematics with Professor Bonferroni. I knew about Bonferroni through his 'Elements of mathematical analysis' (1933-34). I chose to do my thesis with him because his three examinations had gone very well and I was now fascinated by the world of mathematics ... I used to talk to Bonferroni also about statistics and through his 'Elements of statistics' (1941) I realised that mathematics was of fundamental importance. Another reason [I wrote a thesis on statistics] ... was that the world of mathematicians was a very closed one and therefore people like me who had not attended a mathematics faculty did not have many opportunities, even though I loved the field. Bonferroni said to me, "Hurry and take up a career in statistics because when mathematicians become aware of the possibility which it offers them, there will not be any more opportunities for people like you".
Many further details and bibliography can be found in the obituary [11], and [6] and [1] (all three in Italian) and a brief encyclopaedia entry [7]. Benedetti spoke about Bonferroni's mathematical style in [9]:-
The contributions made by Bonferroni ... are rather varied, ranging from pure mathematics to mathematical statistics and to actuarial mathematics. More than anything else, however, I was struck by his personal style and the simplifying solutions to the very complex procedures which he proposed. You only need to open his texts ['Elements of general statistics' (1941), 'Foundations of actuarial mathematics' (1942), 'Elements of mathematical analysis' (1st edition 1933, 6th edition 1957)] to discover this. He was also obsessed with printing mistakes and errors which are noticed only once the paper has been printed.
Bonferroni wrote two articles which cover what today are known as the 'Bonferroni inequalities', the 1935 article [4] is directed to a specific application, namely life assurance, whereas the 1936 article [5] is more abstract. Note that many sources cite both of these as having been published in 1936, but this is an error caused, we believe, by following secondary sources rather than reading the originals. We quote the abstract of the 1935 article:-
The author establishes above all a symbolic calculus which enables the expression in a rapid and uniform manner of the various probabilities of survival and death amongst a group of assured, expressed as a function of a particular type assumed as primary. This calculus does not require the hypothesis that the assured lives should be independent, as is usual in treatments of this problem. He establishes a noteworthy law of duality between the probability of survival and that of death, introducing as a consequence of the notation some new results.
In the 1936 paper Bonferroni sets up his inequalities. Suppose we have a set of mm elements and each of these elements can have any number of the nn characteristics C1,C2,...,CnC_{1}, C_{2}, ..., C_{n}. We denote by pip_{i} the probability that an element has characteristic ii, by pijp_{ij} the probability that an element has both characteristic ii and characteristic jj, pijkp_{ijk} the probability that it has the three characteristics i,ji, j and kk, etc. Let S0=1,S1S_{0} = 1, S_{1} = sum of pi,S2p_{i}, S_{2} = sum of pijp_{ij}, S3S_{3} = sum pijkp_{ijk}, etc. Then, writing PrP_{r} for the probability that an element has exactly rr characteristics, Bonferroni's inequalities are
P01,P01S1,P01S1+S2,P01S1+S2S3,P_{0} ≤ 1, P_{0} ≥ 1 - S_{1}, P_{0} ≤ 1 - S_{1} + S_{2}, P_{0} ≥ 1 - S_{1} + S_{2} - S_{3}, ...
The inequality P01S1P_{0} ≥ 1 - S_{1} had been noted by George Boole, and Francesco Paolo Cantelli had highlighted Boole's inequality in a talk he gave at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Bologna in September 1928. As we mentioned above, Bonferroni attended this conference and his work on the 'Bonferroni inequalities' may have been prompted by hearing Cantelli's lecture.

Bonferroni's articles are more of a contribution to probability theory than to simultaneous statistical inference, and the reader in search of a convenient reference for such use might prefer [10]. A contrasting view of the value of adjustment in multiple comparisons can be found in [12]. As usual in statistics the name can be considered inappropriate (an example of Stigler's law [16]) as the usual statistical simultaneous inference relies only on Boole's inequality [15].

Apart from these he also had interests in the foundations of probability. Two relevant articles are an inaugural lecture in [3] and a more formal article published earlier, but written about the same time [2]. He developed a strongly frequentist view of probability denying that subjectivist views can even be the subject of mathematical probability. For example, in his inaugural lecture [3], he said:-
A weight is determined directly by a balance. And a probability, how is that determined? What is, so to speak, the probability balance? It is the study of frequencies which give rise to a specific probability.
Later in the same lecture he stated that, "subjective probability is not amenable to mathematical analysis." In [11] Pagni gives a list of Bonferroni's publications under three main headings: (1) actuarial mathematics (16 articles and 1 book); (2) probability and statistical mathematics (30 articles and 1 book); and (3) analysis, geometry and rational mechanics (13 articles). However, his contributions seem to have received less recognition that one might have expected. Michael Dewey and Eugene Seneta address this in [8]:-
One reason for his current lack of recognition may be the fact that his books were never properly disseminated. Apart from 'Elementi di analisi matematica' , and that only in its last edition of 1957, and a smaller research monograph: 'Sulla correlazione e sulla connessione' (1942), they probably do not exist in typeset versions. One of the volumes, 'Elementi di Statistica Generale' was reprinted in facsimile after his death at the instigation of the Faculty of Economics of the University of Florence; bound with it is a memoir by Bruno de Finetti. The reason his books were never properly typeset is that he believed that books were too expensive for students to buy, and so to keep costs down he handwrote his teaching material, and the books were printed from that version. (This pattern is reasserting itself for the same reasons with the aid of electronic publishing.) They run to hundreds of pages, neat and almost correction free. His articles have a clear explanatory nature. He was someone with a genuine interest in communicating his ideas to his audience.
It is worth noting, however, that Bonferroni's inequalities gained fame following the publication of Maurice Fréchet's 1940 book Les probabilités associées a un système d'événements compatibles et dépendants. Première partie: d'événements en nombre fini fixe and William Feller's An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications (1950). More recently, much effort has been put into generalising Bonferroni's inequalities, see for example J Galambos and I Simonelli, Bonferroni-type Inequalities with Applications (Springer-Verlag, New York, 1996) and papers continue to be published on this topic. To indicate the interest in this area we note that an generalisation of Bonferroni's inequalities by S Holm in the paper A simple sequentially rejective multiple test procedure published in the Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 6 (1979), 65-70, has received around 2000 citations.

Bonferroni kept up his passion for music all his life and when he was younger he was an enthusiastic climber of glaciers. Benedetti said [9]:-
In his mathematical papers in fact you can recognise a lightness and refinement which is almost musical. He was a sensitive and kind person even if he was very strong willed. I was very fond of him, particularly for the way he was protective and affectionate towards me.

[Bonferroni] was a very kind, refined person. I was moved by the fact that when he met my employer at the financial firm "La centrale" he had told him to treat me gently as I was a very sensitive boy. He was a tall strongly built man with light blue eyes and not very much hair. He was protective towards me in the same way a father would be. He enquired about the company I kept and the life I led in Florence.
Bonferroni was honoured by election to the Hungarian Statistical Society.


References (show)

  1. C Benedetti, Carlo Emilio Bonferroni (1892-1960), Metron 40 (3-4) (1982), 2-36.
  2. C E Bonferroni, Intorno al concetto di probabilità, Giornale di Matematica Finanziara 6 (1924), 105-133.
  3. C E Bonferroni, Teoria e probabilità, Annuario del R Istituto Superiore di Scienze Economiche e Commerciali di Bari per L'anno Accademico 1925-1926 (Bari, 1927), 15-46.
  4. C E Bonferroni, Il calcolo delle assicurazioni su gruppi di teste, Studi in Onore del Professore Salvatore Ortu Carboni (Rome, 1935), 13-60.
  5. C E Bonferroni, Teoria statistica delle classi e calcolo delle probabilità, Pubblicazioni del R Istituto Superiore di Scienze Economiche e Commerciali di Firenze 8 (1936), 3-62.
  6. B de Finetti, Commemorazione del Prof C E Bonferroni, Giornale di Matematica Finanziaria 46 (1964) 5-24.
  7. M E Dewey, Bonferroni, Carlo Emilio, in P Armitage and T Colton, Encyclopaedia of Biostatistics (Chichester, 1998), 420-421.
  8. M E Dewey and E Seneta, Carlo Emilio Bonferroni, in C C Heyde and E Seneta (eds.), Statisticians of the centuries (Springer, New York-Heidelberg, 2001), 411-414.
  9. G M Giorgi, Encounters with the Italian Statistical School: a conversation with Carlo Benedetti, Metron 54 (3-4) (1996), 3-23.
  10. R G Miller, Simultaneous statistical inference (New York, 1966).
  11. P Pagni, Carlo Emilio Bonferroni. Bollettino dell'Unione Matematica Italiana 15 (1960), 570-574.
  12. T V Perneger, What's wrong with Bonferroni adjustments?, British Medical Journal 316 (1998), 1236-1238.
  13. E Regazzini, Probability theory in Italy between the two world wars. A brief historical review, Metron 45 (3-4) (1987), 5-42.
  14. E Seneta, Probability inequalities and Dunnett's test, in F M Hoppe, Multiple Comparisons, Selections and Applications in Biometry (New York, 1993) 29-45.
  15. E Seneta, On the history of the strong law of large numbers and Boole's inequality, Historia Math. 19 (1) (1992), 24-39.
  16. S M Stigler, Stigler's law of eponymy, Transactions of the New York Academy of Sciences 39 (1980), 147-157.

Additional Resources (show)

Other websites about Carlo Bonferroni:

  1. Michael Dewey
  2. MathSciNet Author profile
  3. zbMATH entry

Written by Edmund Robertson and Michael Dewey, Nottingham
Last Update January 2013